Ike Anya wrote this piece on behalf of the Nigerian Public Health Network; a network of over 100 Nigerian Public health professionals around the world.

Nigeria has had an elected civilian government since May 1999. Over the next few weeks, elections will be held to identify successors to the Obasanjo regime. Many candidates are putting themselves forward for the various positions in government. In this piece as a network of Nigerian public health professionals we put forward our analyses of some of the issues that should be paramount in the health agenda for the next 4 years. We hope that this analysis will provide some fairly basic frameworks to help politicians focus on health issues and assist Nigerians in demanding these from their politicians. Beyond that, it could act as a template in the future for reviewing the performance of whoever is elected to lead government at different levels on issues relating to our health.

We explore several themes and proffer not just problems but solutions. Generally we feel saddened that the health sector does not seem to have benefited to the same extent from the innovative strategic thinking and planning that other sectors have benefited from. We have seen obvious and significant developments in the banking, telecommunications, insurance and lately also in the education sectors. While the term "reform" has been extensively used with regards to health, very few Nigerians can identify significant changes to their daily lives in terms of their health outcomes, and access to health care. While the population has become ever more suave in demanding and getting improvement in banking, telecommunications and other sectors, we all seem to have resigned our health to fate. Why is this the case?

A simple analysis of the health sector in Nigeria and its challenges can take two perspectives - the population's health perspective and the perspective of healthcare services.

Firstly, when we speak about a population health perspective we are talking in terms of broader health outcomes- what is the maternal mortality rate? What is the infant mortality rate? What is the prevalence of HIV? What is the prevalence of malaria, and how have all these changed over time? These are broad indices that are indicative of the state of health of the population of Nigeria as a whole. These may not be immediately obvious to the man or woman on the street but are indicative of the health of the general population and also serve as an index of development. Also relevant from a population perspective are the population's knowledge, attitudes, and behaviours towards factors that influence their health outcomes. How much are preventive measures promoted and how much are these adopted by our growing population? The influences of these factors are of course largely subject to the socio-cultural diversity of Nigeria, but are most significantly underlined by the economic situations of the people.


Secondly, in terms of healthcare services, we refer to those services with which every one is immediately familiar and associates with health. If I fall ill today, where can I go for treatment? Can I afford the treatment? Are health care facilities adequately equipped and staffed to make the appropriate diagnosis? Will the treatment I receive be of good quality? What is a minimum standard of treatment and care that I can expect and can demand? How long will I have to wait for it? Although some improvements have been made, notably in the refurbishment of some teaching hospitals, a lot more work is required in Nigeria on both levels and in this piece we highlight some of the outstanding issues. It is important to stress that health cannot be divorced from socioeconomic factors and therefore efforts at improving the socioeconomic status of the Nigerian people are key to improving health in Nigeria. Having acknowledged this broad perspective, there are however issues that can be addressed from a more specific health perspective.

Population health in Nigeria suffers on various levels. The most p
ressing perhaps is the lack of data. This might appear unrelated to health to the casual reader, but fundamentally, one cannot manage what you cannot measure. A priority for an incoming President and his minister of health must be a careful review of what data is currently available and what further data is needed in the health sector and how best to collect this. This does not necessarily require sophisticated mechanisms- examples exist in other developing countries and we can harness these examples. The data we need to collect relate to both population health and also health care indices.

Firstly, in the sphere of population health, systems already exist for the collection of sentinel surveillance data for HIV and for the childhood vaccine-preventable diseases. Lessons can be learnt from these programmes and expanded. The information collected can then be used to set health related targets. I.e. rather than promise the building of x number of primary care facilities, a health goal would be to reduce the prevalence of HIV from 5% to 3% in the next 5 years, or to increase the uptake of measles vaccination from 60% to 80% in the next 10 years. The performance of government can then be related to how they achieve these goals.

Secondly data on the availability, and spread of health care infrastructure, finances and resources. How many hospitals exist in Nigeria, at national, state and local government levels? How many are privately owned, how many government owned?What services do they provide? Where are they located? What are their staff strengths? What are referral systems upwards and downwards? Is there a registration and accreditation system for private providers? Is this data managed and accessible?Just like the performance of the telecommunications sector is not measured on the number of telephone companies, but on the teledensity (proportion of the population with an active telephone line), the health care sector should not be measured by the presence of hospitals, but on the access of people to a functioning health care provider. The National Health Insurance Scheme is a potential source of useful health information as well as the recent contentious census, which included questions on health and social services. Over the past 8 years we have often heard from the National Primary Health Care Development Agency on the number of Primary Health Care Centres that have been or are being built. We have heard nothing on how many of these centres are providing adequate health care to people. Indeed the building of health care centres should be the responsibility of a ministry of works, not a parastatal under the ministry of health!

Another priority should be access to potable water and sanitation. Nothing surprises first-time visitors to Nigeria more than the refuse on our roadsides. The ubiquitous pure water sachet, while solving thirst problems for people, has led to a big refuse disposal dilemma. There is no reason why Nigeria should not be able to provide its citizens with clean water and sanitary disposal of wastes. Tackling these issues will boost population health. Similarly, providing a minimum compulsory education of high quality to junior secondary school level is a key part of boosting population health. Education, especially the education of girls is critical in ensuring improved health for the people of Nigeria and must be made a priority. Without investing in education any improvements in other sectors will be transient and unsustainable.

We have one of the highest road traffic accident rates in the world. Literally, our roads are killing us. This affects the rich just as much as the poor. Reducing this will require firm and decisive action- in improving road safety, the introduction of compulsory helmet use by motorcyclists, sustaining the use of seat belts, imposing and insisting on speed limits and other safety measures. These need to be accompanied with through driver education and public enlightenment. The difficulty in some of these measures e.g. helmets in the Nigerian heat is understandable. But contrast this inconvenience to a broken femur, skull or a wasted life! The enforcement of these laws is of paramount importance and the need for an enlightened and disciplined police force is obvious. This example highlights the complexity of improving health, as most of the necessary actions actually lie outside the realm of the health sector.